crisis, economy, INVESTMENT ADVICE, SOTCK MARKET, Uncategorized

The good News is- The recession is over, The bad news is- !The depression has started!

 

This time QE did not trickle down to the working man. If you want to turn this economy around in 3 months give refunds back to the working man on the income taxes he paid last year.

 

On march 9th I wrote ITS OVER, that my VSI indicator was flashing red and I saw an Island Reversal on the charts, the after the president’s speech on march 1st, and to buy puts on our list of stocks to short and buy the VIX.

 

The Island reversal is a sign of exhaustions.

 

The number of retails store closings is getting bigger and I don’t believe is all due to amazon. What would happen if they started delivering burgers, chicken and pizza by Drones? And no one has mentioned all the jobs that will be lost.

 

If I had money I would wait until a mall was ready to foreclose or go bankrupt, buy it on the cheap and convert it into an apartment buildings. You already have large indoor and outdoor parking, just add heated swimming pools, kitchens and bedrooms.

 

Earnings on the 500 S and P stocks have gone nowhere in the last 3 years, but the market is up 33% in 3 years. Either this is the dumbest generation of investors I’ve seen in my 50 years of WALL ST., or I am getting to old for this game.

 

 Just thoughts..

 

Gasoline inventories Building to records levels the only place people are driving to is Walmart’s.

 

Even the upper middle class are shopping there.

 

Restaurants are dying, Broadway tickets sales are down, art sales down, expensive watch sales down and Miami and Manhattan condo sales are plunging.

 

My readers know how I feel about most of our political leaders. They are lying, cheating, stealing, Lowlife crooks, and most Americans feel the same.

 

This pizza gate story is gaining strength, if it turns out to be true it could destroy our country from the inside out.

Contact me at marcello.anastasi@ymail.com

 

 

 

 

 

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crisis, economy, INVESTMENT ADVICE, SOTCK MARKET

IT´S OVER

                                                      THE VSI IS FLASHING RED!! 

AND I THINK I SAW AN ISLAND REVERSAL

ON MARCH 1st, THE DAY AFTER THE PRESIDENT´S SPEECH.

IT IS TIME FOR THE MARKET TO GO DOWN!

BUY PUTS AND BUY THE VIX

March 8th 2017

Reach me at: marcello.anastasi@ymail.com

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economy, INVESTMENT ADVICE, SOTCK MARKET, Uncategorized

SHORT THEM AGAIN, LET´S GO FOR A HAT TRICK

Well they didn´t go to 13,000 yet but I think all the shorts are covered, again. You know you can make 5 to 10 times more, more money; 5 to 10 times faster being short in a Bear Market  than you can being long in a Bull Market.

I said that the first week last June was the start of a new Bear Market and that the next rally after a 2,000-point drop was a Bear Market rally, followed by a 3,000-point drop, and I think this last rally was also a Bear market trap. If it is, the next sell- off could be down 4,000 points, all toll, the shorts will have made 10,000 points on the Dow, but wait till we go to 13,000 Dow.

Remember, in Bull Markets you buy the dips, in Bear Markets you sell the rips. Easy game.

Let´s check our Short list:

OEX Down -120 pts+

PCLN Down – 450 pts

AMZN Up, lost money

IBM Down -50 pts

GOOG Up, lost money

TSLA Down – 180 pts

NFLX Down – 35 pts

AAPL Down – 35 pts

VIX Up 35 pts

I would buy puts on this same list- except AMZN, wait 2 days, they had great earnings- keep in mind when you go short buy puts. Because the most you can lose by buying puts is the price, you paid for the puts.

If you short a stock and it goes up, your loss can be unlimited. If you do short a stock, buy slightly out of money calls, this will limit your loss.

Being naked short you can lose the ranch, really. Ever since options started trading in the mid 1970´s I am shocked whenever I hear someone has lost a bundle of money, there are so many ways to protect yourself with options.

I think the e-mails I got from my readers, kind of sums-up how they are doing.

The first one is scary:

“Hey, Market Call Anastasi, if the Dow doesn’t go to 13,000 like you keep saying, one night you are going to see a few dark vans parked in front of your house and driveway with mean looking guys inside.”

Well, I live in Peru, that´s a long drive.

The next one I should have saved, printed and framed, he says:

“I don’t believe I made $ 500,000 on the 25 puts. I´m giddy laughing, I made a boat full of money on Priceline and I buy a boat, I mean a container ship. It is the first time I ever bought puts or an option.

I felt like that 70-year-old woman from Wisconsin who for the first time in her life, she bought one Lotto quick pick ticket and won the lottery the next day.   Who knows if I had listened to you about the rally only being a Bear Market trap I could have made 300 or 400 points instead of 200 points… Thanks Market Call Anastasi…”

The majority of the e-mails all said they were happy they sold all their stocks in June at the Bull Market top and that they made money buying puts.

As for the mean looking guys in the dark vans:

If you spent more time, reading my blogs maybe you would be driving “Vettes and Vipers” my two favorite cars. Just remember this blog was intended for friends, family and relatives because it´s easier than constantly calling from Peru and Yes. I have a disclaimer; it reads:

“If anyone is dumb enough to listen a poor Italian kid from South Philadelphia, they deserve to lose money”

I won´t get bullish until the Dow breaks 18,200 on the Upside on large volume. The total daily volume of stocks has been declining.

Not a good sign and earnings of companies have been declining. All I see is bad news everywhere.

I keep about 15 market internals every day, 4 times a day. At 10.00, 12.00, 02.00 and 04.00 O´clock, and I will admit some of them are starting to look a little better. If the Dow should break 18,200 on the Upside and only on a large volume, sell your puts fast for whatever they are trading at. I would be shocked if that happens.

Happy Trading!

 

 

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economy, INVESTMENT ADVICE, SOTCK MARKET

OCTOBER BLOOD BATH STILL IN THE CARDS, TOO MANY BLACK SWANS IN THE POOL.

This is a Bear Market trap.
Do not buy into this rally, even if it last a few more days.
Why?
Because growth in the manufacture and service sectors is slowly dying and inflation, which I always believed was a natural by-product of the economy, is slowly moving into minus territory, which means we hardly have an economy which is also dying.
Lastly I have a bad feeling about Russians war efforts.
A lot of money was made on our last blogs lists of puts to buy. We made 38 points on the vix alone.

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economy, INVESTMENT ADVICE, SOTCK MARKET

NEW BEAR MARKET STARTS THIS WEEK

SUN NITE MAY 31, 2015

Sell all stocks. Buy OEX puts, buy the VIX. Sell calls. Buy puts on PCLN, AMZN, IBM, GOOG, TSLA, NFLX and AAPL.
Oh, I should have mentioned this sooner, please no more emails about cooper and Zinc mine. It sold 3 days after we posted it. Not through us but by the real Estate broker who asked us to post it. Who bought it? The Chinese, you fool.

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economy, INVESTMENT ADVICE, SOTCK MARKET

” O YE OF LITTLE FAITH” THE MARKET IS READY TO CRASH.. “FALL DOWN GO BOOM!”

Sunday April 19th

I decided a month ago to stop writing my blog, but I feel something is happening that scares me.
I mentioned several months ago that one of my greatest fears is that someone could hack our Stock Market Trading System which is all computerized.
If you want to take America down, just take the capital out of capitalism.
I feel that Fridays 2 ½ hour glitch on all of Bloomberg’s Worldwide Trading System was the first of many small hacks to come, or eventually they will attempt one big one and by them I mean Russia, China or ISIS or all 3 combined.
I just hope I am wrong.
On another happy note; the number of Bears stands at 13.9%, one of the lowest amounts in history.

Good Luck!

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economy, INVESTMENT ADVICE, SOTCK MARKET

BASTA! (Enough) Written Monday Dec 29th-Posted Monday Jan 5th . I JUST HAVE A BAD FEELING. THE TIPPING POINT HAS BEEN REACHED. EVERYONE KNOWS THE WORLD IS COMING APART EXCEPT WALL STREET. THIS YEAR I WILL STOP SMOKING FOR THE 50 TIME!

So, our last blog, Thanksgiving week, we told everyone OUT OF THE POOL, into 100% Cash and I said we might buy them back at the Mid December lows, which actually occurred Mid December, on or about Dec 15th but I couldn’t pull the trigger, I couldn’t say buy!. I just had a bad feeling about this market.
Most of my Market Calls are from Technical Analysis (75%) some calls from Fundamental Analysis about (20%) but every once in a while, just from my overall feelings, good or bad, I call this my Gut Feeling. Sometimes it’s my best indicator and right now my gut feeling is fear almost panic. I don’t think the Market can take any more bad news. Yes, the economy is still doing better, slowly. I said the US will be back on top again, because God is behind this country. Every dollar in this country is backed by God. It says that on every dollar “In God we trust” but the rest of the world is still coming apart. Last week Putin said the ruble found a floor, now the news said the ruble it dropped another 7% overnight Monday. Greece market slips 8% on an Athens vote. There are not too many more 7 or 8% left till 0%. Oh! And Germany cools towards Russian investments. I think I’ll sit out January.
Well its 6:40 am Monday December 29th I am up since 4 am and I can’t stop all the crazy thoughts running through my head. So I have to write. The S+P Futures are down-3.75, the Dow futures down -37.00. The S+P x (times) 10. The Dow is back. Since my last blog when I first mentioned that numbers game 80% of the time it was out of whack. Meaning the Dow was only 5x (times) the S+P or did the fed realize they could control more stocks by buying S+P futures and thus making the Advance-Decline Line looking a lot better that we have usually seen or did I just stumble upon a new indicator. Since my “Dow 30 Video Game” blog I got a lot of. “Frank you are getting really crazy “emails” I just wrote it off as Dementia or Alzheimer. I am 71 about the time this shit starts. Then a friend sent me a copy of a blog Moz or moskickherbutt@ written by a future Trader with 35 years’ experience, who said the Fed has been nudging the S+P futures for the last 3-4 years and said he knows which S+P brokers and Traders handle orders for the Fed. His Blog came out 2 days after I said “Dow 30 Video Game “blog.
I try to go back than earlier emails to find it but no luck. I have over 11,000 emails on my computer, most unread. How many can the computer hold?
Thank you John Wagner! to send me the blog.
So now, we know why the rich get richer and the poor get poorer. Even though their businesses or companies owned by the rich are still losing money or barely making any, save for financial engineering. They are all making millions on their stock holding and massive positions in the companies they own. Thanks to the Fed, lower interest rates, and easy money
The only sad part about this whole scenario that really hurts me is the suicides of 15 or 20 bankers. This is the only Bull Market (from March 2009 till now) that has not seen any real corrections. 10% or more.
They never gave the shorts a chance to cover. It’s been like perpetual short covering death trap and it’s the only Bull Market that has seen Banker suicides.
I’m sure if they really investigate each suicide incident, you will find in each case massive shorting by these bankers in either their firm trading accounts, their own accounts or both. The whole banker suicide story has been hushed up.
Financial Engineering.
I love the way terms and meanings get softer with each passing generation. My generation called it Creative Accounting. The generation before me called it cooking the books.
It’s Nov 29th 9.28 am. S+P futures now down only -2.50 but the Dow futures are down -44, this just might be a brand new indicator. In a few weeks we will know for sure.
PS I LOVE YOU
This is my penny a share theory on how to take from the rich and give to the poor. I thought of it 2 decades or so ago, but the volume on all exchange wasn’t that great. With today volume, at a penny a share every 100 shares equals a buck $1 dollar. That’s a lot of bucks and you could probably do it with options, bonds, and other instruments and I don’t think the rich would even miss the penny. Maybe this is a perfect time to try it, with all the talk going on about taxing the rich more.
The only thing you really need is honest people running the program who will make sure the poor receive the money. Hey! Maybe it could partially replace the welfare and food stamps programs, hey! Wouldn’t that be nice, no more homeless and hungry poor people in the USA. Peru just passed a law, all babies born started this December (2014) get free medical for the first five years of life. Germany is going to start free university education. Come on US you supposed to be the best.
You know when NY lottery started in NY I think the mids 70’s. They said a portion of the proceeds would go to Public Schools. Didn’t happen, Public schools have gone straight down over the years. They are run like slum-lord buildings.
PS I love you, a penny a share. Just a thought.

This blog may break up our marriage. it was written Monday December 29th one week ago. It was timely and prophetic which I told my wife. I ask if you are busy with your work, a travel agency, I would have to put my blog aside till she was free which I always did in the past. but no! she had to expand 24 hours plus watching the Good Wife Show which I also love to watch. now a week later my blog lost timely and prophetic edge.

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